Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.077874 2.262802 2.460199 2.687167 2.941647 3.218992 3.545225
2025-11-30 1.841938 2.100389 2.393169 2.751673 3.181908 3.685538 4.325477
2025-12-07 1.652533 1.945355 2.291157 2.734099 3.292859 3.983124 4.914364
2025-12-14 1.507232 1.818722 2.198753 2.703345 3.366205 4.222462 5.437939
2025-12-21 1.363537 1.677343 2.070113 2.606745 3.335157 4.311251 5.757203
2025-12-28 1.286560 1.611978 2.029388 2.615727 3.437649 4.580127 6.347541
2026-01-04 1.229040 1.566008 2.008095 2.645349 3.566180 4.891795 7.031022
2026-01-11 1.180657 1.527690 1.992536 2.678896 3.699450 5.218621 7.772955
2026-01-18 1.135988 1.490680 1.974923 2.706016 3.822587 5.538325 8.539806
2026-01-25 1.089244 1.447355 1.944677 2.710776 3.909777 5.807087 9.252152
2026-02-01 1.028088 1.379925 1.875312 2.651029 3.889709 5.898182 9.661278
2026-02-08 0.979121 1.327152 1.823819 2.614168 3.901592 6.040687 10.178094
2026-02-15 0.939319 1.286410 1.788826 2.602132 3.955541 6.264536 10.889413
2026-02-22 0.922508 1.278505 1.802355 2.667463 4.143712 6.742859 12.173805
2026-03-01 0.886744 1.240273 1.767161 2.650955 4.189236 6.966400 12.971355
2026-03-08 0.850666 1.199731 1.726010 2.621434 4.208589 7.141536 13.691027
2026-03-15 0.802718 1.138888 1.649969 2.528551 4.106675 7.073338 13.858887
2026-03-22 0.780585 1.116932 1.634392 2.537189 4.190177 7.376006 14.924708
2026-03-29 0.764106 1.102951 1.630691 2.565676 4.312295 7.768553 16.274557
2026-04-05 0.749356 1.090944 1.629395 2.597933 4.443715 8.194360 17.789420
2026-04-12 0.734199 1.077544 1.624974 2.624007 4.564792 8.611392 19.366886
2026-04-19 0.715798 1.058085 1.609389 2.628583 4.643049 8.942824 20.781642
2026-04-26 0.687028 1.020618 1.561720 2.571138 4.590679 8.973473 21.350374